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Volta Redonda vs Ituano

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Raulino de Oliveira, Volta Redonda
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Ygor Catatau
55'
Sub
Fellipinho In: Andrey Dias
Out: Fellipinho
60'
Lucas Rocha

AI Match Summary

Volta Redonda in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Volta Redonda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Volta Redonda
15%
Draws
42%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volta Redonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ituano lately — more wins on the board than Volta Redonda.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Volta Redonda here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 20%
Ituano Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volta Redonda Ituano
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Ituano
1:0
Oct 15, 2020 Serie C
Ituano vs Volta Redonda
2:0
Aug 17, 2020 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Ituano
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volta Redonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Ygor Catatau
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ituano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volta Redonda 32 / 100
Ituano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volta Redonda Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ituano has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Ituano's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Volta Redonda found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Volta Redonda VS Ituano
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Volta Redonda

(Home)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
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Ituano

(Away)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)