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Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Raulino de Oliveira
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Caio Henrique
30' Event
Luduena Coronel M.
37'
Antony

AI Match Summary

The Copa Sul-Sudeste game between Volta Redonda and Novorizontino finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novorizontino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Volta Redonda
11%
Draws
80%
Novorizontino
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novorizontino come out ahead of Volta Redonda on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Novorizontino taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Novorizontino here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 13%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volta Redonda Novorizontino
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Serie B
Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Volta Redonda
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volta Redonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Luduena Coronel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volta Redonda 11 / 100
Novorizontino 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volta Redonda Novorizontino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volta Redonda scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Novorizontino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Solid form: Volta Redonda remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Volta Redonda VS Novorizontino
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chapecoense-SC64118:513
2Novorizontino63218:511
3SER Caxias do Sul63216:311
4Cianorte62229:108
5Tombense612311:135
6Sampaio Correa FE61237:95
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avai631210:810
2Volta Redonda63129:810
3Operario-PR62315:49
4America MG622211:118
5EC Juventude61144:94
6Sao Bernardo60336:93