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Volta Redonda vs Tombense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Raulino de Oliveira, Volta Redonda
Volta Redonda Logo

Volta Redonda

3 - 2
FT
Tombense Logo

Tombense

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Vitinho
32'
Sub
Matheus Chaves In: Dyego
Out: Matheus Chaves
34'
Sub
Julio Henrique In: Almeida da Silva K. D.
Out: Julio Henrique
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Volta Redonda
30%
Draws
47%
Tombense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tombense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tombense average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Volta Redonda's 0.83.
  • Model gives Tombense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Volta Redonda, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 23%
Tombense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volta Redonda Tombense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.74 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Volta Redonda vs Tombense
3:2
Aug 3, 2024 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Tombense
1:1
Sep 25, 2021 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Tombense
2:1
Jul 24, 2021 Serie C
Tombense vs Volta Redonda
1:1
Oct 25, 2020 Serie C
Tombense vs Volta Redonda
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volta Redonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Wagninho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luciano Naninho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.37

Tombense Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keliton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volta Redonda 10 / 100
Tombense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volta Redonda Tombense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tombense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tombense has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Volta Redonda's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Volta Redonda has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Volta Redonda VS Tombense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.8
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.6
63% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Volta Redonda

(Home)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

Tombense

(Away)
27 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
CRAC
21 Jun
CRAC
1 : 0
Tombense
14 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)