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Volta Redonda vs Ypiranga FC

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Raulino de Oliveira, Volta Redonda
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ygor Catatau
46'
Sub
Rian In: Estevao
Out: Rian
46'
Sub
Leo Rafael In: Vini Charopem
Out: Leo Rafael

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Volta Redonda and Ypiranga FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Volta Redonda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Volta Redonda
44%
Draws
20%
Ypiranga FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ypiranga FC have managed 1 goals a game lately — Volta Redonda are scoring more at 1.13.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Volta Redonda have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 19%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volta Redonda Ypiranga FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Ypiranga FC
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Ypiranga FC
3:0
Jun 25, 2023 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Ypiranga FC
2:1
Jul 25, 2022 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Ypiranga FC
2:1
Nov 14, 2020 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Volta Redonda
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volta Redonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Ygor Catatau
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vini Charopem
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volta Redonda 36 / 100
Ypiranga FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volta Redonda Ypiranga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YPI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Ypiranga FC conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Volta Redonda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Volta Redonda scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Volta Redonda VS Ypiranga FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Volta Redonda

(Home)
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Maringa FC
4 : 0
Volta Redonda
30 Jun
Volta Redonda
3 : 0
Amazonas
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Ypiranga FC

(Away)
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Confianca
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
15 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)