Sport Picks

Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2021/2022 Avanhard Stadium

FC Mariupol

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Volyn Lutsk play FC Mariupol in the Ukrainian Cup 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Volyn Lutsk averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1 conceded. FC Mariupol averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Volyn Lutsk won 2, FC Mariupol won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 22, 2021 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Volyn Lutsk and 1.05 for FC Mariupol. This points to a Volyn Lutsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Volyn Lutsk

19%

Draws

39%

FC Mariupol

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Volyn Lutsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Volyn Lutsk picked up more points recently compared to FC Mariupol.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Volyn Lutsk Clean Sheet 22%

FC Mariupol Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Volyn Lutsk	FC Mariupol
Matches Played	14	16
Wins	5	4
Draws	3	3
Losses	6	9
Goals Scored	0.86	1.31
Goals Conceded	1	1.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2021 Ukrainian Cup

Volyn Lutsk vs FC Mariupol

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Nov 30, 2014 Premier League

Volyn Lutsk vs FC Mariupol

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

Jul 26, 2014 Premier League

FC Mariupol vs Volyn Lutsk

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Jul 16, 2014 Club Friendly

Volyn Lutsk vs FC Mariupol

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Apr 11, 2014 Premier League

FC Mariupol vs Volyn Lutsk

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volyn Lutsk 42 / 100

FC Mariupol 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Volyn Lutsk FC Mariupol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Volyn Lutsk or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Volyn Lutsk attacking → ← attacking FC Mariupol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volyn Lutsk scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

FC Mariupol let in goals in 75% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Volyn Lutsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Mariupol lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 15

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00