Sport Picks

Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026

Vorskla Poltava

0 - 2

Probiy Horodenka

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Bliznichenko A.

27'

Chervak V.

30'

Borysevych R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Probiy Horodenka in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Probiy Horodenka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Vorskla Poltava

44%

Draws

20%

Probiy Horodenka

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Probiy Horodenka lately — more wins on the board than Vorskla Poltava.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%

Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 19%

Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vorskla Poltava	Probiy Horodenka
Matches Played	27	27
Wins	5	9
Draws	8	5
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Persha Liga

Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Sep 20, 2025 Persha Liga

Probiy Horodenka vs Vorskla Poltava

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vorskla Poltava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Probiy Horodenka Compare

Top Goalscorer Bliznichenko A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fesenko A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vorskla Poltava 36 / 100

Probiy Horodenka 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vorskla Poltava Probiy Horodenka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Vorskla Poltava has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Vorskla Poltava scored in 44% of their last 27 outings.

Probiy Horodenka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vorskla Poltava VS Probiy Horodenka

0.63 Goals Scored 0.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63

63% Over 1.5 25%

25% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bukovyna	30	26	3	1	74:21	81
2	Ch. Odesa	30	19	8	3	44:20	65
3	Livyi Bereg	30	19	6	5	50:21	63
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	30	16	5	9	36:28	53
5	Inhulets	30	12	10	8	41:32	46
6	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)	30	9	10	11	33:33	37
7	Metalist Kharkiv	30	10	7	13	31:35	37
8	Probiy Horodenka	30	10	6	14	29:37	36
9	Fenix Mariupol	30	9	9	12	31:32	36
10	Victoria	30	10	6	14	37:38	36
11	UCSA	30	10	6	14	30:40	36
12	Nyva Ternopil	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
13	FC Chernihiv	30	8	7	15	30:36	31
14	Vorskla Poltava	30	7	9	14	23:36	30
15	FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi	30	4	9	17	20:45	21
16	MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya	30	4	7	19	16:61	19
17	Minaj	0	0	0	0	0:0	0