Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vorwarts-Wacker vs Alsterbruder

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Wiedemann M.
45' Event
Hartmann A.
47' Event
Burmester M.

AI Match Summary

Vorwarts-Wacker in this Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vorwarts-Wacker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vorwarts-Wacker
20%
Draws
22%
Alsterbruder
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vorwarts-Wacker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vorwarts-Wacker have won more games recently than Alsterbruder.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Vorwarts-Wacker Clean Sheet 20%
Alsterbruder Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vorwarts-Wacker Alsterbruder
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 2.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Vorwarts-Wacker vs Alsterbruder
4:1
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Vorwarts-Wacker
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vorwarts-Wacker Compare

Top Goalscorer Burmester M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wiedemann M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Alsterbruder Compare

Top Goalscorer Hartmann A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vorwarts-Wacker 31 / 100
Alsterbruder 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vorwarts-Wacker Alsterbruder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vorwarts-Wacker Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vorwarts-Wacker scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Alsterbruder conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Vorwarts-Wacker went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vorwarts-Wacker VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vorwarts-Wacker

(Home)
18 Sept
Vorwarts-Wacker
0 : 0
Suderelbe
13 Sept
Pinneberg
1 : 2
Vorwarts-Wacker
04 Sept
Vorwarts-Wacker
1 : 1
SC Victoria Hamburg
28 Aug
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
22 Aug
HT 16
5 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
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Alsterbruder

(Away)
16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5
Alsterbruder
10 May
Alsterbruder
1 : 4
Paloma
25 Apr
Suderelbe
3 : 2
Alsterbruder
13 Apr
Alsterbruder
1 : 2
Sasel
04 Apr
Eimsbutteler
4 : 2
Alsterbruder
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 99:30 82
2 Dassendorf 34 26 4 4 98:32 82
3 Eimsbutteler 34 22 4 8 96:48 70
4 Paloma 34 22 4 8 84:54 70
5 ETSV Hamburg 34 20 3 11 96:50 63
6 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 7 9 78:44 61
7 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 5 13 56:45 53
8 Vorwarts-Wacker 34 15 5 14 86:97 50
9 TSV Buchholz 08 34 14 4 16 70:76 46
10 Suderelbe 34 13 5 16 70:83 44
11 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 12 5 17 69:73 41
12 Sasel 34 11 7 16 60:73 40
13 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 10 6 18 73:94 36
14 Harksheide 34 9 8 17 63:89 35
15 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 10 5 19 53:83 35
16 TSV Concordia 34 8 5 21 47:88 29
17 Alsterbruder 34 7 4 23 37:90 25
18 Hamburger III 34 3 2 29 45:131 11
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)