Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2014

Bayterek Astana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vostok Oskemen play Bayterek Astana in the First Division 2014. Vostok Oskemen are favorites here. Recently, Vostok Oskemen averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Bayterek Astana averaged 0.72 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. In past meetings, Vostok Oskemen won 3, Bayterek Astana won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 8, 2015 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Vostok Oskemen and 0.80 for Bayterek Astana. This points to a Vostok Oskemen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

Vostok Oskemen

15%

Draws

19%

Bayterek Astana

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vostok Oskemen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Vostok Oskemen picked up more points recently compared to Bayterek Astana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Vostok Oskemen Clean Sheet 26%

Bayterek Astana Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vostok Oskemen	Bayterek Astana
Matches Played	34	36
Wins	20	7
Draws	7	2
Losses	7	27
Goals Scored	1.76	0.72
Goals Conceded	1.09	2.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2015 First League

Vostok Oskemen vs Bayterek Astana

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Apr 25, 2015 First League

Bayterek Astana vs Vostok Oskemen

Possession: 40% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Aug 9, 2014 First League

Vostok Oskemen vs Bayterek Astana

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 0 - 0

1:2

Jul 5, 2014 First League

Bayterek Astana vs Vostok Oskemen

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Sep 5, 2012 First League

Vostok Oskemen vs Bayterek Astana

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vostok Oskemen 65 / 100

Bayterek Astana 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vostok Oskemen Bayterek Astana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vostok Oskemen Win (1)

Secondary Pick Vostok Oskemen & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vostok Oskemen attacking → ← attacking Bayterek Astana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vostok Oskemen scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Bayterek Astana let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Vostok Oskemen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bayterek Astana lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 23

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Okzhetpes	28	21	1	6	59:33	64
2	FK Kyran	28	19	3	6	60:30	60
3	Zhenis	28	17	4	7	54:29	55
4	Akzhayik Uralsk	28	16	7	5	46:24	55
5	Kaspij Aktau	28	17	4	7	44:26	55
6	Vostok Oskemen	28	14	5	9	48:31	47
7	FC Ekibastuz	28	11	8	9	40:35	41
8	Sunkar	28	11	7	10	42:39	40
9	Kyzylzhar	28	12	1	15	41:45	37
10	Bayterek Astana	28	10	2	16	34:52	32
11	Taraz-Karatau 2	28	7	6	15	23:42	27
12	CSKA Almaty	28	6	6	16	32:54	24
13	Shakhtar Bulat	28	7	2	19	26:40	23
14	Gefest Karagandy	28	6	3	19	16:56	21
15	Maqtaaral	28	4	5	19	33:62	17