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Votuporanguense vs Ituano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Victor Feitosa
90' Event
Santos O.
90' Event
Hugo Costa

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Votuporanguense and Ituano finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Votuporanguense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Votuporanguense
15%
Draws
26%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Votuporanguense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Votuporanguense come out ahead of Ituano on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Votuporanguense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ituano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Votuporanguense Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Votuporanguense Ituano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Votuporanguense
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Votuporanguense vs Ituano
3:0
Jan 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Votuporanguense
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Paulista A2
Votuporanguense vs Ituano
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Votuporanguense Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Feitosa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ituano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Votuporanguense 95 / 100
Ituano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Votuporanguense Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Votuporanguense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Votuporanguense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Ituano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Votuporanguense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Votuporanguense VS Ituano
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Votuporanguense

(Home)
28 Apr
Votuporanguense
0 : 0
Juventus-SP
21 Apr
Juventus-SP
2 : 1
Votuporanguense
15 Apr
Ituano
2 : 1
Votuporanguense
08 Apr
Votuporanguense
5 : 1
Agua Santa
28 Mar
Votuporanguense
2 : 1
Piracicaba
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Ituano

(Away)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Ituano 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
3 Piracicaba 6 2 2 2 6:4 8
4 Agua Santa 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
2 Juventus-SP 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Sao Jose EC 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 Sertaozinho 6 1 0 5 4:13 3
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Play Offs)