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VPS 2 vs OsPa

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2025 Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Petander E.
46'
Sub
Keturi O. In: Mohammed T.
Out: Keturi O.
55'
Sub
Munoz A. In: Yliheikkila P.
Out: Munoz A.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C 2025 game between VPS 2 and OsPa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VPS 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
VPS 2
15%
Draws
34%
OsPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VPS 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VPS 2 come out ahead of OsPa on wins alone.
  • Model gives VPS 2 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors VPS 2 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
VPS 2 Clean Sheet 68%
OsPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS 2 OsPa
Matches Played 35 22
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 3.11 2.73
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
VPS 2 vs OsPa
3:0
Jul 20, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
VPS 2 vs OsPa
2:1
May 17, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
OsPa vs VPS 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VPS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smyth L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohammed T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

OsPa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 2 77 / 100
OsPa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS 2 OsPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VPS 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VPS 2 scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.

OsPa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Away concern: OsPa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VPS 2 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS 2

(Home)
29 Aug
Huima / Urho
5 : 0
VPS 2
22 Aug
GBK Kokkola
4 : 1
VPS 2
15 Aug
VPS 2
3 : 1
JS Hercules
08 Aug
Vaajakoski
3 : 2
VPS 2
03 Aug
VPS 2
5 : 0
Jaro 2
Page 1 of 7

OsPa

(Away)
21 Sept
OsPa
4 : 2
SJK Akatemia 2
14 Sept
VPS 2
3 : 0
OsPa
07 Sept
GBK Kokkola
5 : 1
OsPa
03 Sept
OsPa
1 : 1
TP-47
30 Aug
JBK
3 : 0
OsPa
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VPS 2 21 14 3 4 72:24 45
2 GBK Kokkola 21 13 4 4 47:35 43
3 JBK 21 13 2 6 38:27 41
4 OsPa 21 10 2 9 56:46 32
5 TP-47 21 9 4 8 44:68 31
6 SJK Akatemia 2 21 9 0 12 56:52 27
Promotion - Kakkonen Play Offs (Main)