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VPS vs TPS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
VPS Logo

VPS

1 - 3
FT
TPS Logo

TPS

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Okereke E.
38'
Sub
Muzinga J. In: Salomaa H.
Out: Muzinga J.
45' Event
Zaal T.
Assist: Juvanteny P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between VPS and TPS finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
VPS
30%
Draws
35%
TPS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • VPS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans TPS's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and TPS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
VPS Clean Sheet 20%
TPS Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS TPS
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs TPS
1:3
May 30, 2026 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs VPS
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
TPS vs VPS
1:0
Oct 8, 2021 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs VPS
1:3
Sep 1, 2021 Ykkosliiga
VPS vs TPS
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Odhiambo X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaal T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veinbergs N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 28 / 100
TPS 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS TPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VPS scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: TPS conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

VPS has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

VPS VS TPS
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS

(Home)
08 Oct
HJK
6 : 0
VPS
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
Page 1 of 6

TPS

(Away)
19 Sept
TPS
0 : 3
Ilves
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
TPS
0 : 0
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)