Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vrapce vs Dugo Selo

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vrapce in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vrapce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vrapce
30%
Draws
27%
Dugo Selo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Vrapce have won more games recently than Dugo Selo.
  • Win probability leans Vrapce's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 68%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrapce Dugo Selo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.57 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Dugo Selo
2:1
Sep 4, 2021 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Vrapce
2:2
Aug 4, 2021 Club Friendly
Vrapce vs Dugo Selo
2:3
Apr 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Vrapce
3:0
Sep 26, 2020 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Dugo Selo
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrapce 95 / 100
Dugo Selo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrapce Dugo Selo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrapce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Vrapce has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vrapce scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Dugo Selo let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dugo Selo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrapce

(Home)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
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Dugo Selo

(Away)
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
22 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Dugo Selo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)