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Vrapce vs Lucko

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Vrapce Logo

Vrapce

2 - 1
FT
Lucko Logo

Lucko

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Vrapce and Lucko finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vrapce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Vrapce
35%
Draws
20%
Lucko
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vrapce come out ahead of Lucko on wins alone.
  • Vrapce are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lucko have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 68%
Lucko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrapce Lucko
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2022 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Lucko
2:1
Feb 19, 2022 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Vrapce
1:0
Apr 17, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Lucko
0:2
Sep 19, 2020 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Vrapce
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrapce 86 / 100
Lucko 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrapce Lucko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrapce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lucko conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Vrapce stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Vrapce scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lucko
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrapce

(Home)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

Lucko

(Away)
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)