Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vrapce vs Zagorec Krapina

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zagorec Krapina in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagorec Krapina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Vrapce
20%
Draws
28%
Zagorec Krapina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Zagorec Krapina have won more games recently than Vrapce.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Vrapce taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Zagorec Krapina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 15%
Zagorec Krapina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrapce Zagorec Krapina
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 9 21
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Zagorec Krapina
1:3
Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Vrapce
2:1
Jun 12, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Zagorec Krapina
3:4
Mar 13, 2021 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Vrapce
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrapce 84 / 100
Zagorec Krapina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrapce Zagorec Krapina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrapce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zagorec Krapina conceded in 86% of 42 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vrapce stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Vrapce found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Vrapce VS Zagorec Krapina
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrapce

(Home)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
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Zagorec Krapina

(Away)
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
26 Aug
Granicar Kotoriba
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
14 Aug
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
31 Jul
Segesta
4 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
27 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 2
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)