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Stadium Background

Vreden vs ASC 09 Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vreden in this Oberliga Westfalen matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vreden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vreden
20%
Draws
40%
ASC 09 Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASC 09 Dortmund lately — more wins on the board than Vreden.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on ASC 09 Dortmund taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vreden Clean Sheet 10%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vreden ASC 09 Dortmund
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.75 2.44
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs ASC 09 Dortmund
5:2
May 25, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Vreden
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs ASC 09 Dortmund
4:5
Mar 30, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Vreden
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs ASC 09 Dortmund
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vreden 18 / 100
ASC 09 Dortmund 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vreden ASC 09 Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Vreden scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: ASC 09 Dortmund conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Vreden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vreden VS ASC 09 Dortmund
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vreden

(Home)
04 Oct
TuS Hordel
1 : 4
Vreden
27 Sept
Vreden
2 : 0
Lippstadt
20 Sept
Schermbeck 2020
1 : 3
Vreden
13 Sept
Vreden
1 : 6
Eintracht Rheine
04 Sept
Sprockhovel
4 : 4
Vreden
Page 1 of 6

ASC 09 Dortmund

(Away)
04 Oct
TUS Ennepetal
1 : 5
ASC 09 Dortmund
27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3
TuS Hordel
19 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
4 : 1
Lippstadt
06 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 2
ASC 09 Dortmund
30 Aug
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 3
Sprockhovel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gievenbeck 9 6 1 2 19:12 19
2 Vreden 9 6 1 2 25:19 19
3 Eintracht Rheine 9 6 0 3 20:13 18
4 Erkenschwick 9 5 3 1 15:9 18
5 Maaslingen 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
6 Lippstadt 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
7 Sprockhovel 9 4 2 3 25:17 14
8 Verl II 9 4 2 3 19:16 14
9 ASC 09 Dortmund 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
10 Arminia Bielefeld II 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
11 Preussen Munster 2 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
12 Westfalia Kinderhaus 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 TuS Hordel 9 2 4 3 14:17 10
14 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 9 3 0 6 17:23 9
15 Clarholz 9 2 2 5 21:22 8
16 Hiltrup 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
17 TUS Ennepetal 9 0 5 4 10:23 5
18 Schermbeck 2020 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)