Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Matogrossense game between Várzea Grande EC and Nova Mutum EC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nova Mutum EC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Várzea Grande EC haven't matched Nova Mutum EC's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Várzea Grande EC's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Várzea Grande EC | Nova Mutum EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Várzea Grande EC Compare
Nova Mutum EC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Várzea Grande EC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
Nova Mutum EC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Várzea Grande EC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Várzea Grande EC
(Home)Nova Mutum EC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luverdense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 17 |
| 2 | Mixto | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Operario VG | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Sport Sinop | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Cuiaba | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Nova Mutum EC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Chapada | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Primavera AC | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Várzea Grande EC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | 5 |
