Sport Picks

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Várzea Grande EC vs Sport Sinop

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Michel
50' Event
Augusto M.
62' Event
Marco Antonio

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense game between Várzea Grande EC and Sport Sinop finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Sinop.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Várzea Grande EC
20%
Draws
38%
Sport Sinop
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Várzea Grande EC haven't matched Sport Sinop's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC Sport Sinop
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.21 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Sport Sinop
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Várzea Grande EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Augusto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sport Sinop Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marco Antonio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC 32 / 100
Sport Sinop 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC Sport Sinop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Várzea Grande EC scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Sport Sinop let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Várzea Grande EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC VS Sport Sinop
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Várzea Grande EC

(Home)
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
08 Feb
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
Page 1 of 6

Sport Sinop

(Away)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 7:3 17
2 Mixto 9 4 3 2 13:4 15
3 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
4 Sport Sinop 9 3 4 2 6:4 13
5 Cuiaba 9 3 3 3 8:8 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
7 Chapada 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
8 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 2 4 3 7:7 10
9 Primavera AC 9 1 7 1 6:9 10
10 Várzea Grande EC 9 1 2 6 5:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)