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Várzea Grande EC vs Sport Sinop

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Michel
50' Event
Augusto M.
62' Event
Marco Antonio

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense game between Várzea Grande EC and Sport Sinop finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Sinop.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Várzea Grande EC
28%
Draws
50%
Sport Sinop
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sport Sinop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Várzea Grande EC haven't matched Sport Sinop's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Sport Sinop taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 21%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC Sport Sinop
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Sport Sinop
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Várzea Grande EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Augusto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sport Sinop Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marco Antonio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC 24 / 100
Sport Sinop 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC Sport Sinop

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Várzea Grande EC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Sport Sinop let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Várzea Grande EC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC VS Sport Sinop
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luverdense95227:317
2Mixto943213:415
3Operario VG94239:914
4Sport Sinop93426:413
5Cuiaba93338:812
6Nova Mutum EC933313:1512
7Chapada932412:1311
8Uniao Rondonopolis92437:710
9Primavera AC91716:910
10Várzea Grande EC91265:145