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Várzea Grande EC vs Uirapuru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Várzea Grande EC Logo

Várzea Grande EC

1 - 2
FT
Uirapuru Logo

Uirapuru

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Várzea Grande EC
20%
Draws
20%
Uirapuru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Uirapuru haven't matched Várzea Grande EC's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Várzea Grande EC taking it.
  • Várzea Grande EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uirapuru, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Várzea Grande EC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 10%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC Uirapuru
Matches Played 27 15
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.22 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.85 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Várzea Grande EC vs Uirapuru
1:2
Sep 23, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uirapuru vs Várzea Grande EC
1:4
Jun 24, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Várzea Grande EC
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC 40 / 100
Uirapuru 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC Uirapuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uirapuru let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Várzea Grande EC scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Away concern: Uirapuru has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC VS Uirapuru
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Várzea Grande EC

(Home)
07 Oct
Chapada
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

Uirapuru

(Away)
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 5 2 0 3 9:13 6
5 Uirapuru 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)