Sport Picks
Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao Rondonopolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Rondonopolis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Uniao Rondonopolis come out ahead of Várzea Grande EC on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Uniao Rondonopolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Uniao Rondonopolis, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Uniao Rondonopolis have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 11%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Várzea Grande EC | Uniao Rondonopolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao Rondonopolis
1:3
Jan 20, 2026 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao Rondonopolis
0:0
Feb 18, 2019 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Várzea Grande EC
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Várzea Grande EC 30 / 100
Uniao Rondonopolis 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Várzea Grande EC Uniao Rondonopolis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Várzea Grande EC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Uniao Rondonopolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Várzea Grande EC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Várzea Grande EC VS Uniao Rondonopolis
1.43 Goals Scored 1.5
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Várzea Grande EC
(Home) 10 Oct
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 2 Uirapuru
07 Oct
Chapada
3 : 0 Várzea Grande EC
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5 Chapada
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4 Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3 Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 2 Uirapuru
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5 Chapada
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3 Uniao Rondonopolis
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3 Nova Mutum EC
01 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 2 Sport Sinop
Page 1 of 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
(Away) 07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0 Santa Cruz MT
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2 Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0 Uirapuru
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0 Uniao Rondonopolis
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0 Chapada
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2 Uniao Rondonopolis
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0 Uniao Rondonopolis
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3 Uniao Rondonopolis
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0 Uniao Rondonopolis
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2 Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Chapada | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz MT | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 4 | Várzea Grande EC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 5 | Uirapuru | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cuiaba | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Sorriso EC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 3 | Cacerense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Campo Novo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)
