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Várzea Grande EC W vs Mixto W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Matogrossense Women
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AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense Women game between Várzea Grande EC W and Mixto W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Várzea Grande EC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Várzea Grande EC W
20%
Draws
22%
Mixto W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Várzea Grande EC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Várzea Grande EC W come out ahead of Mixto W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Várzea Grande EC W Clean Sheet 20%
Mixto W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC W Mixto W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.64 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Matogrossense Women
Várzea Grande EC W vs Mixto W
1:0
Jul 30, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Mixto W vs Várzea Grande EC W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC W 31 / 100
Mixto W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC W Mixto W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Várzea Grande EC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Mixto W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Várzea Grande EC W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Mixto W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC W VS Mixto W
0.83 Goals Scored 0.38
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Várzea Grande EC W

(Home)
07 Oct
Acao W
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC W
03 Oct
Várzea Grande EC W
1 : 0
Mixto W
02 May
Várzea Grande EC W
1 : 1
Planalto EC W
29 Apr
Sampaio Correa W
2 : 1
Várzea Grande EC W
25 Apr
Pantanal W
1 : 1
Várzea Grande EC W
Page 1 of 6

Mixto W

(Away)
08 Oct
Paulistano FC W
1 : 0
Mixto W
03 Oct
Várzea Grande EC W
1 : 0
Mixto W
26 Sept
Mixto W
2 : 0
Acao W
22 Aug
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
Mixto W
15 Aug
Mixto W
1 : 2
Cruzeiro W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Várzea Grande EC W 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Paulistano FC W 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 Acao W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Mixto W 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
5 Sorriso EC W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Matogrossense Women (Play Offs)