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VSK Aarhus vs Naestved IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VSK Aarhus host Naestved IF in the 2nd Division. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: VSK Aarhus at 1.34 goals for, 1 against; Naestved IF at 1.32 for, 1.32 against. Head-to-head, VSK Aarhus have won 1 to Naestved IF's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring VSK Aarhus. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
VSK Aarhus
35%
Draws
38%
Naestved IF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naestved IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VSK Aarhus lately — more wins on the board than Naestved IF.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Naestved IF taking it.
  • Regular 2nd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 20%
Naestved IF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VSK Aarhus Naestved IF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.32
Goals Conceded 1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs VSK Aarhus
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs VSK Aarhus
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 2nd Division
VSK Aarhus vs Naestved IF
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VSK Aarhus 28 / 100
Naestved IF 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VSK Aarhus Naestved IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

VSK Aarhus scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Naestved IF conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: VSK Aarhus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VSK Aarhus VS Naestved IF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VSK Aarhus

(Home)
11 Oct
Nykobing
3 : 1
VSK Aarhus
02 Oct
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Brabrand
26 Sept
VSK Aarhus
1 : 0
Skive
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2
Boldklubben 1893
Page 1 of 6

Naestved IF

(Away)
10 Oct
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
1 : 1
Naestved IF
02 Oct
Naestved IF
1 : 1
Nykobing
27 Sept
Naestved IF
2 : 2
Middelfart
18 Sept
Fremad Amager
1 : 1
Naestved IF
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 11 7 4 0 28:12 25
2 Roskilde 11 5 6 0 21:10 21
3 Boldklubben 1893 11 5 3 3 19:14 18
4 VSK Aarhus 11 5 3 3 15:10 18
5 Middelfart 11 4 5 2 19:13 17
6 Naestved IF 11 3 7 1 15:13 16
7 Skive 11 4 2 5 13:15 14
8 Fremad Amager 11 3 5 3 13:16 14
9 Brabrand 11 3 3 5 13:18 12
10 Hellerup 11 2 3 6 9:19 9
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 11 1 3 7 11:23 6
12 Thisted FC 11 1 2 8 9:22 5
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)