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VSK Gyergyo vs Aerostar

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VSK Gyergyo play Aerostar in the Liga 3 - Seria 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, VSK Gyergyo averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Aerostar averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, VSK Gyergyo won 1, Aerostar won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for VSK Gyergyo and 1.19 for Aerostar. This points to a VSK Gyergyo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
VSK Gyergyo
31%
Draws
33%
Aerostar
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: VSK Gyergyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • VSK Gyergyo picked up more points recently compared to Aerostar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
VSK Gyergyo Clean Sheet 20%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VSK Gyergyo Aerostar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs VSK Gyergyo
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1
VSK Gyergyo vs Aerostar
4:1
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs VSK Gyergyo
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VSK Gyergyo 36 / 100
Aerostar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VSK Gyergyo Aerostar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: VSK Gyergyo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VSK Gyergyo attacking → ← attacking Aerostar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VSK Gyergyo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Aerostar let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

VSK Gyergyo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aerostar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 35
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Soimii Gura Humorului22172355:1253
2Cetatea Suceava22152558:2447
3Viitorul Onesti22106634:2236
4Stiinta Miroslava22113830:3336
5CSM Vaslui2286829:2830
6Odorheiu2286833:3530
7Bucovina Radauti2285929:2729
8ACS USV Iasi22841028:4628
9Aerostar22741126:4325
10VSK Gyergyo22731229:4324
11Adjud22561114:2421
12FC Bacau 222331627:5512