Sport Picks

Croatia

HNL 2025/2026 Stadion Gradski vrt

Match Events

19'

Trontelj Z.

Assist: Pozo I.

27'

Cabrajic K.

30'

Zivkovic M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vukovar 1991 host HNK Gorica in the HNL 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. HNK Gorica have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Vukovar 1991 have conceded 2.5 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Vukovar 1991 have won 0 to HNK Gorica's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.63, favoring HNK Gorica. HNK Gorica in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Vukovar 1991

Draws

90%

HNK Gorica

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

HNK Gorica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vukovar 1991.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for HNK Gorica.
League standings and seasonal metrics in HNL 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Vukovar 1991 Clean Sheet 14%

HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vukovar 1991	HNK Gorica
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	13
Draws	8	7
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	1.25	0.75
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 HNL

Vukovar 1991 vs HNK Gorica

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Feb 15, 2026 HNL

HNK Gorica vs Vukovar 1991

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Nov 7, 2025 HNL

HNK Gorica vs Vukovar 1991

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Aug 22, 2025 HNL

Vukovar 1991 vs HNK Gorica

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

May 14, 2011 Prva NL

Vukovar 1991 vs HNK Gorica

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 0 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vukovar 1991 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

HNK Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Trontelj Z.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vukovar 1991 10 / 100

HNK Gorica 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vukovar 1991 HNK Gorica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vukovar 1991 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

HNK Gorica let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Vukovar 1991 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

HNK Gorica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vukovar 1991 VS HNK Gorica

1.25 Goals Scored 0.75

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Zagreb	36	27	5	4	93:28	86
2	Hajduk Split	36	20	8	8	61:36	68
3	Varazdin	36	15	9	12	47:46	54
4	Rijeka	36	14	11	11	49:36	53
5	Lok. Zagreb	36	10	14	12	40:52	44
6	Istra 1961	36	12	7	17	39:50	43
7	Slaven Belupo	36	10	11	15	46:61	41
8	HNK Gorica	36	11	8	17	40:48	41
9	Osijek	36	8	11	17	27:49	35
10	Vukovar 1991	36	6	10	20	37:73	28