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Vulcanico vs Morabeza

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Vulcanico Logo

Vulcanico

0 - 2
FT
Morabeza Logo

Morabeza

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2009 game between Vulcanico and Morabeza finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morabeza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vulcanico
30%
Draws
37%
Morabeza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morabeza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Morabeza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vulcanico are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vulcanico Clean Sheet 20%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vulcanico Morabeza
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 13
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.73 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Vulcanico vs Morabeza
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vulcanico 42 / 100
Morabeza 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vulcanico Morabeza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morabeza let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Vulcanico remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Vulcanico's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vulcanico VS Morabeza
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vulcanico

(Home)
12 May
Vulcanico
1 : 1
Barreirense
05 May
Palmeira
1 : 0
Vulcanico
28 Apr
Sporting Praia
1 : 0
Vulcanico
22 Apr
Vulcanico
2 : 1
Sporting Praia
14 Apr
Barreirense
0 : 1
Vulcanico
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Morabeza

(Away)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1
Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2
Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1
Morabeza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Praia 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Mindelense 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
3 Ultramarina 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Onze Unidos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
5 Santa Maria 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
6 Foguetoes 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 SC do Porto Novo 5 3 0 2 9:6 9
3 Vulcanico 5 2 1 2 3:4 7
4 Morabeza 5 2 1 2 4:8 7
5 Estrela dos Amadores 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
6 Academica Boavista 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)