Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2022/2023

PEC Zwolle W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

VV Alkmaar W play PEC Zwolle W in the Eredivisie Women 2022/2023. PEC Zwolle W are favorites here. Recently, VV Alkmaar W averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.83 conceded. PEC Zwolle W averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, VV Alkmaar W won 3, PEC Zwolle W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 31, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for VV Alkmaar W and 1.43 for PEC Zwolle W. This points to a PEC Zwolle W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

VV Alkmaar W

15%

Draws

58%

PEC Zwolle W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PEC Zwolle W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

VV Alkmaar W picked up more points recently compared to PEC Zwolle W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.43 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

VV Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 17%

PEC Zwolle W Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	VV Alkmaar W	PEC Zwolle W
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	4	14
Draws	5	2
Losses	21	16
Goals Scored	0.7	1.31
Goals Conceded	2.83	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2023 Eredivisie Women

VV Alkmaar W vs PEC Zwolle W

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Dec 9, 2022 Eredivisie Women

PEC Zwolle W vs VV Alkmaar W

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Mar 25, 2022 Eredivisie Women

PEC Zwolle W vs VV Alkmaar W

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Dec 5, 2021 Eredivisie Women

PEC Zwolle W vs VV Alkmaar W

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Oct 15, 2021 Eredivisie Women

VV Alkmaar W vs PEC Zwolle W

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 4 - 4

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VV Alkmaar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

PEC Zwolle W Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Vegt I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Alkmaar W 28 / 100

PEC Zwolle W 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

VV Alkmaar W PEC Zwolle W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEC Zwolle W Win (2)

Secondary Pick PEC Zwolle W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VV Alkmaar W attacking → ← attacking PEC Zwolle W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Alkmaar W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

PEC Zwolle W let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

VV Alkmaar W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

PEC Zwolle W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 44

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ajax W	20	18	1	1	67:15	55
2	Twente W	20	18	0	2	81:6	54
3	Sittard W	20	11	3	6	49:27	36
4	PSV W	20	11	2	7	36:23	35
5	Den Haag W	20	10	2	8	42:21	32
6	PEC Zwolle W	20	7	5	8	26:37	26
7	Feyenoord W	20	6	6	8	18:24	24
8	Heerenveen W	20	7	1	12	24:56	22
9	VV Alkmaar W	20	3	3	14	11:55	12
10	Telstar W	20	3	3	14	18:65	12
11	SBV Excelsior W	20	2	2	16	14:57	8