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Stadium Background

VV DOVO vs HBC Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Dijkstra A.
(Penalty)
51'
Vink J.
51'
Vink J.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between VV DOVO and HBC finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV DOVO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
VV DOVO
15%
Draws
85%
HBC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HBC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • HBC haven't matched VV DOVO's recent run of results.
  • Model gives HBC a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
VV DOVO Clean Sheet 16%
HBC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV DOVO HBC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 1
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.63 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs HBC
4:2
Sep 7, 2024 Derde Divisie
HBC vs VV DOVO
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VV DOVO Compare

Top Goalscorer Huber L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hak N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

HBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Voorham J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV DOVO 19 / 100
HBC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV DOVO HBC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HBC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VV DOVO scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

HBC let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

HBC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

VV DOVO VS HBC
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VV DOVO

(Home)
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3
ADO 20 Heemskerk
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 1
VV DOVO
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0
VV DOVO
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4
VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 6

HBC

(Away)
07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0
HBC
03 Jun
HBC
0 : 1
HVV Hollandia
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1
HBC
27 May
HBC
3 : 1
Flevo Boys
24 May
HBC
0 : 2
Huizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)