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VV DOVO vs Sparta Nijkerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV DOVO host Sparta Nijkerk in the Derde Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sparta Nijkerk have shipped 1.65 goals a game lately, while VV DOVO have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.59. Past meetings favor VV DOVO slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.50, favoring VV DOVO. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
VV DOVO
15%
Draws
85%
Sparta Nijkerk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • VV DOVO haven't matched Sparta Nijkerk's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Nijkerk's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
VV DOVO Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV DOVO Sparta Nijkerk
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.59 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Sparta Nijkerk
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VV DOVO
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VV DOVO
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Sparta Nijkerk
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV DOVO 14 / 100
Sparta Nijkerk 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV DOVO Sparta Nijkerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV DOVO scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Sparta Nijkerk has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Sparta Nijkerk registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VV DOVO VS Sparta Nijkerk
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VV DOVO

(Home)
17 Oct
VV DOVO
2 : 3
Harkemase Boys
10 Oct
Genemuiden
3 : 1
VV DOVO
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3
ADO 20 Heemskerk
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 1
VV DOVO
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Sparta Nijkerk

(Away)
17 Oct
Purmersteijn
3 : 0
Sparta Nijkerk
10 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 2
VV Scherpenzeel
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 11 5 4 2 19:17 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Eemdijk 10 3 1 6 16:29 10
14 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)