Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026

VV DOVO

2 - 0

Sportlust

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

VV DOVO in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored VV DOVO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

VV DOVO

Draws

Sportlust

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: VV DOVO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sportlust haven't matched VV DOVO's recent run of results.
VV DOVO are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

VV DOVO Clean Sheet 16%

Sportlust Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	VV DOVO	Sportlust
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	14	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.13	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Derde Divisie

VV DOVO vs Sportlust

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 0 - 4

2:0

Oct 18, 2025 Derde Divisie

Sportlust vs VV DOVO

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie

Sportlust vs VV DOVO

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Oct 5, 2024 Derde Divisie

VV DOVO vs Sportlust

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

May 6, 2023 Derde Divisie

Sportlust vs VV DOVO

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV DOVO 84 / 100

Sportlust 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

VV DOVO Sportlust

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportlust lost 5 of their last 5 games.

VV DOVO found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Sportlust has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

VV DOVO VS Sportlust

1.13 Goals Scored 1.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rohda Raalte	34	20	7	7	63:36	67
2	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	17	11	6	59:39	62
3	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	4	11	84:43	61
4	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	9	8	46:36	60
5	Genemuiden	34	17	5	12	61:52	56
6	Staphorst	34	17	3	14	63:53	54
7	Harkemase Boys	34	14	10	10	56:44	52
8	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	53:43	52
9	Eemdijk	34	14	8	12	68:59	50
10	VV Scherpenzeel	34	14	7	13	59:49	49
11	VV Hoogeveen	34	14	6	14	54:64	48
12	Sportlust	34	14	5	15	54:52	47
13	USV Hercules	34	13	5	16	53:57	44
14	Excelsior 31	34	12	4	18	49:57	40
15	Huizen	34	11	7	16	51:63	40
16	TEC	34	12	4	18	48:64	40
17	Urk	34	8	7	19	61:97	31
18	HSC '21	34	1	5	28	35:109	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	68:43	73
2	Lisse	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	VVSB	34	21	5	8	70:37	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	63:39	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	71:46	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	71:58	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	64:61	53
8	VV Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	61:48	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	53:51	48
10	VV Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	56:51	44
11	RKSV UDI 19	34	11	6	17	57:74	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	51:59	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	43:61	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	45:64	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	35:69	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	49:65	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	47:70	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	45:87	25