Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VV DOVO vs VVOG

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Chisom Johnson L.
31' Event
Pluk T.
34' Event
van Dijk G.

AI Match Summary

VV DOVO in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VV DOVO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
VV DOVO
15%
Draws
28%
VVOG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV DOVO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • VV DOVO have won more games recently than VVOG.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on VV DOVO taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
VV DOVO Clean Sheet 18%
VVOG Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV DOVO VVOG
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.74 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs VVOG
5:1
Nov 19, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs VV DOVO
4:1
Apr 18, 2022 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs VVOG
1:2
Aug 21, 2021 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs VV DOVO
3:3
Apr 17, 2021 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs VVOG
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VV DOVO Compare

Top Goalscorer Chisom Johnson L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pluk T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

VVOG Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwart M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV DOVO 36 / 100
VVOG 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV DOVO VVOG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV DOVO scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

VVOG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: VVOG has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VV DOVO VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

VV DOVO

(Home)
22 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 1
VV DOVO
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0
VV DOVO
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4
VV Hoogeveen
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2
VV DOVO
02 Sept
Surhusterfean
1 : 2
VV DOVO
Page 1 of 7

VVOG

(Away)
02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1
VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4
VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3
ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4
Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0
VVOG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 34 22 9 3 71:33 75
2 GVVV 34 21 6 7 77:40 69
3 SteDoCo 34 18 4 12 59:42 58
4 Rijnvogels 34 17 5 12 64:55 56
5 Barendrecht 34 18 5 11 71:54 55
6 Sportlust 34 15 8 11 52:50 53
7 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 15 7 12 54:43 52
8 Sparta Nijkerk 34 13 11 10 45:45 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 16 2 16 71:72 50
10 VV DOVO 34 15 3 16 51:56 48
11 Staphorst 34 12 9 13 38:41 45
12 Urk 34 13 3 18 62:76 42
13 Harkemase Boys 34 10 8 16 52:56 38
14 RKAV Volendam 34 9 9 16 52:72 36
15 VVOG 34 10 5 19 49:71 35
16 Excelsior 31 34 8 9 17 47:58 33
17 Ter Leede 34 8 9 17 50:65 33
18 ASWH 34 7 6 21 25:61 27
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 27 3 4 85:37 84
2 VVSB 34 22 5 7 87:52 71
3 USV Hercules 34 18 9 7 64:33 63
4 Blauw Geel 34 15 10 9 53:45 55
5 OJC Rosmalen 34 16 6 12 58:56 54
6 HSC '21 34 14 9 11 64:42 51
7 UNA 34 12 13 9 55:41 49
8 TOGB 34 13 10 11 68:56 49
9 HV & CV Quick 34 13 10 11 59:47 49
10 DEM 34 13 9 12 58:53 48
11 Gemert 34 14 5 15 52:59 47
12 GVV Unitas 34 13 6 15 43:59 45
13 Groene Ster 34 10 13 11 42:44 43
14 FC OSS '20 34 8 12 14 39:59 36
15 Watergraafsmeer 34 8 8 18 35:80 32
16 Baronie 34 8 4 22 44:70 28
17 Dongen 34 6 7 21 45:77 25
18 RKSV UDI 19 34 4 5 25 26:67 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)