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Stadium Background

VV Noordwijk vs GOES - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV Noordwijk host GOES in the Derde Divisie. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. VV Noordwijk have averaged 2 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against GOES's 1.39 scored and 2.04 conceded. Past meetings favor VV Noordwijk slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 0.94) point toward VV Noordwijk. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
VV Noordwijk
15%
Draws
36%
GOES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Noordwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VV Noordwijk lately — more wins on the board than GOES.
  • Model gives VV Noordwijk a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 20%
GOES Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Noordwijk GOES
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 KNVB Beker
GOES vs VV Noordwijk
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
GOES vs VV Noordwijk
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs GOES
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Noordwijk 85 / 100
GOES 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Noordwijk GOES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Noordwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Noordwijk's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

GOES has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

VV Noordwijk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VV Noordwijk VS GOES
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Noordwijk

(Home)
10 Oct
VV Noordwijk
4 : 0
Gemert
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2
VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
22 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0
Frisia
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3
VV Noordwijk
Page 1 of 6

GOES

(Away)
11 Oct
Groene Ster
2 : 1
GOES
04 Oct
GOES
0 : 4
RKSV UDI 19
26 Sept
SV Poortugaal
0 : 3
GOES
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1
UNA
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Scherpenzeel 9 7 1 1 17:9 22
2 Genemuiden 9 7 0 2 22:10 21
3 ACV Assen 9 6 2 1 22:9 20
4 Harkemase Boys 9 6 2 1 17:12 20
5 Excelsior 31 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
6 TEC 9 6 1 2 28:16 19
7 Sportlust 9 4 4 1 16:13 16
8 Purmersteijn 9 4 3 2 16:12 15
9 Sparta Nijkerk 9 4 2 3 22:18 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 9 4 1 4 18:19 13
12 USV Hercules 9 3 1 5 12:20 10
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 9 1 3 5 12:17 6
14 Staphorst 9 1 3 5 14:20 6
15 VV DOVO 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Eemdijk 8 1 1 6 11:28 4
17 HVV Hollandia 8 0 1 7 15:27 1
18 SVZW Wierden 9 0 1 8 9:27 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 9 7 1 1 19:2 22
2 Lisse 9 7 1 1 16:6 22
3 Rijnvogels 9 6 2 1 25:9 20
4 Excelsior Maassluis 9 6 2 1 19:7 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
6 VV Zwaluwen 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
7 GOES 9 4 2 3 17:19 14
8 Dongen 9 4 1 4 21:21 13
9 Blauw Geel 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
10 SV Poortugaal 9 4 0 5 9:13 12
11 Gemert 9 2 4 3 12:17 10
12 Roosendaal 9 3 0 6 15:20 9
13 Groene Ster 9 2 3 4 14:21 9
14 UNA 9 1 5 3 12:14 8
15 TOGB 9 2 2 5 13:21 8
16 VVSB 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
17 Achilles Veen 9 2 0 7 8:20 6
18 EVV 9 0 2 7 8:20 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)