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VV Noordwijk vs VV Zwaluwen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between VV Noordwijk and VV Zwaluwen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV Zwaluwen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
VV Noordwijk
15%
Draws
42%
VV Zwaluwen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Noordwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • VV Noordwijk haven't matched VV Zwaluwen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives VV Noordwijk a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and VV Zwaluwen have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 20%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Noordwijk VV Zwaluwen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs VV Zwaluwen
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs VV Zwaluwen
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV Zwaluwen vs VV Noordwijk
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Noordwijk 67 / 100
VV Zwaluwen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Noordwijk VV Zwaluwen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Noordwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VV Noordwijk scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

VV Zwaluwen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

VV Noordwijk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

VV Noordwijk VS VV Zwaluwen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Noordwijk

(Home)
10 Oct
VV Noordwijk
4 : 0
Gemert
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2
VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
22 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0
Frisia
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3
VV Noordwijk
Page 1 of 6

VV Zwaluwen

(Away)
10 Oct
Roosendaal
2 : 4
VV Zwaluwen
03 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Achilles Veen
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Scherpenzeel 9 7 1 1 17:9 22
2 Genemuiden 9 7 0 2 22:10 21
3 ACV Assen 9 6 2 1 22:9 20
4 Harkemase Boys 9 6 2 1 17:12 20
5 Excelsior 31 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
6 TEC 9 6 1 2 28:16 19
7 Sportlust 9 4 4 1 16:13 16
8 Purmersteijn 9 4 3 2 16:12 15
9 Sparta Nijkerk 9 4 2 3 22:18 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 9 4 1 4 18:19 13
12 USV Hercules 9 3 1 5 12:20 10
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 9 1 3 5 12:17 6
14 Staphorst 9 1 3 5 14:20 6
15 VV DOVO 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Eemdijk 8 1 1 6 11:28 4
17 HVV Hollandia 8 0 1 7 15:27 1
18 SVZW Wierden 9 0 1 8 9:27 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 9 7 1 1 19:2 22
2 Lisse 9 7 1 1 16:6 22
3 Rijnvogels 9 6 2 1 25:9 20
4 Excelsior Maassluis 9 6 2 1 19:9 20
5 VV Zwaluwen 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
6 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
7 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
8 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
9 Blauw Geel 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
10 SV Poortugaal 9 4 0 5 9:13 12
11 Gemert 9 2 4 3 12:17 10
12 Roosendaal 9 3 0 6 15:20 9
13 UNA 9 1 5 3 12:14 8
14 TOGB 9 2 2 5 15:21 8
15 VVSB 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 9 2 0 7 8:20 6
18 EVV 9 0 2 7 8:20 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)