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VV Scherpenzeel vs DVS '33 Ermelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV Scherpenzeel host DVS '33 Ermelo in the Derde Divisie. This one's hard to separate. VV Scherpenzeel have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against DVS '33 Ermelo's 1.59 scored and 1.72 conceded. Head-to-head, VV Scherpenzeel have won 0 to DVS '33 Ermelo's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.88 - 1.19) back VV Scherpenzeel to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
VV Scherpenzeel
30%
Draws
19%
DVS '33 Ermelo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VV Scherpenzeel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VV Scherpenzeel lately — more wins on the board than DVS '33 Ermelo.
  • Model gives VV Scherpenzeel a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
VV Scherpenzeel Clean Sheet 20%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Scherpenzeel DVS '33 Ermelo
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Scherpenzeel vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs VV Scherpenzeel
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Scherpenzeel 85 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Scherpenzeel DVS '33 Ermelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Scherpenzeel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VV Scherpenzeel scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

DVS '33 Ermelo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

VV Scherpenzeel has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

VV Scherpenzeel VS DVS '33 Ermelo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Scherpenzeel

(Home)
17 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 1
TEC
10 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 2
VV Scherpenzeel
03 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 2
ACV Assen
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6

DVS '33 Ermelo

(Away)
24 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
4 : 3
SVZW Wierden
17 Oct
Staphorst
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
10 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2
Eemdijk
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harkemase Boys 11 8 2 1 24:14 26
2 ACV Assen 11 7 3 1 27:11 24
3 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
4 Excelsior 31 11 7 1 3 28:13 22
5 Genemuiden 11 7 1 3 24:17 22
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 11 5 4 2 19:17 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 11 5 2 4 24:21 17
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 11 4 2 5 21:23 14
11 VV Hoogeveen 11 4 1 6 24:25 13
12 USV Hercules 11 4 1 6 16:23 13
13 Eemdijk 10 3 1 6 16:29 10
14 DVS '33 Ermelo 11 2 3 6 17:22 9
15 Staphorst 11 2 3 6 17:25 9
16 VV DOVO 11 1 3 7 13:26 6
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 11 0 1 10 12:32 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 11 9 1 1 25:4 28
2 Lisse 11 9 1 1 26:8 28
3 Excelsior Maassluis 11 8 2 1 22:7 26
4 Rijnvogels 11 7 2 2 29:13 23
5 RKSV UDI 19 11 6 2 3 22:12 20
6 VV Zwaluwen 11 6 1 4 15:16 19
7 SV Poortugaal 11 6 0 5 15:16 18
8 Dongen 11 5 1 5 24:25 16
9 GOES 11 4 2 5 21:28 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 TOGB 11 3 3 5 19:25 12
13 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 11 2 2 7 15:25 8
17 Achilles Veen 11 2 0 9 9:26 6
18 EVV 11 0 3 8 11:24 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)