Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between VV Zwaluwen and Groene Ster finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV Zwaluwen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VV Zwaluwen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- VV Zwaluwen carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives VV Zwaluwen a 41% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 19%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV Zwaluwen | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Zwaluwen vs Groene Ster
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs VV Zwaluwen
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV Zwaluwen 67 / 100
Groene Ster 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV Zwaluwen Groene Ster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Zwaluwen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VV Zwaluwen's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Groene Ster has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: VV Zwaluwen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
VV Zwaluwen VS Groene Ster
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
VV Zwaluwen
(Home) 05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 RKSV UDI 19
02 Sept
Lierop
0 : 7 VV Zwaluwen
29 Aug
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1 VV Zwaluwen
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1 UNA
15 Aug
Dongen
4 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 RKSV UDI 19
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1 UNA
23 May
VV Zwaluwen
3 : 0 Blauw Geel
09 May
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 TOGB
18 Apr
VV Zwaluwen
3 : 1 SteDoCo
Page 1 of 3
Groene Ster
(Away) 05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3 VVSB
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
16 Aug
Groene Ster
1 : 3 Roosendaal
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1 Groene Ster
25 Apr
SteDoCo
3 : 0 Groene Ster
06 Apr
Blauw Geel
4 : 0 Groene Ster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
