Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VVSB vs Blauw Geel

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VVSB in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VVSB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
VVSB
20%
Draws
29%
Blauw Geel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VVSB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VVSB lately — more wins on the board than Blauw Geel.
  • Model gives VVSB a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
VVSB Clean Sheet 20%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VVSB Blauw Geel
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Blauw Geel
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs VVSB
2:0
Jan 18, 2025 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs VVSB
4:0
Aug 24, 2024 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Blauw Geel
3:5
Apr 1, 2023 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Blauw Geel
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VVSB 42 / 100
Blauw Geel 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VVSB Blauw Geel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VVSB scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Blauw Geel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

VVSB has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

VVSB VS Blauw Geel
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VVSB

(Home)
22 Aug
VVSB
0 : 2
RKSV UDI 19
15 Aug
SV Poortugaal
0 : 1
VVSB
30 May
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
VVSB
27 May
VVSB
1 : 1
Excelsior Maassluis
23 May
Rijnvogels
0 : 3
VVSB
Page 1 of 6

Blauw Geel

(Away)
23 Aug
Blauw Geel
0 : 0
Rijnvogels
15 Aug
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
Blauw Geel
23 May
VV Zwaluwen
3 : 0
Blauw Geel
16 May
Blauw Geel
3 : 2
SVV Scheveningen
10 May
Roosendaal
2 : 1
Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)