Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
TOGB in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored TOGB.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VVSB
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to VVSB lately — more wins on the board than TOGB.
- VVSB are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
VVSB Clean Sheet 18%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VVSB | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs TOGB
1:3
Oct 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs VVSB
4:4
Apr 5, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs TOGB
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs VVSB
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs VVSB
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VVSB 58 / 100
TOGB 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VVSB TOGB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VVSB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VVSB scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: TOGB conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: VVSB stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
VVSB VS TOGB
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
VVSB
(Home) 15 Aug
SV Poortugaal
0 : 1 VVSB
30 May
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 VVSB
27 May
VVSB
1 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
23 May
Rijnvogels
0 : 3 VVSB
16 May
VVSB
1 : 0 GOES
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27 May
VVSB
1 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
16 May
VVSB
1 : 0 GOES
18 Apr
VVSB
5 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
04 Apr
VVSB
4 : 1 UNA
28 Mar
VVSB
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
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TOGB
(Away) 16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 TOGB
23 May
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 TOGB
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1 Groene Ster
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16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 TOGB
23 May
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 TOGB
09 May
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 TOGB
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
