Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VVSB vs VV Zwaluwen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VVSB host VV Zwaluwen in the Derde Divisie. This one's hard to separate. VVSB have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.42 conceded recently, against VV Zwaluwen's 1.87 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor VV Zwaluwen slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.88) back VV Zwaluwen to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
VVSB
15%
Draws
59%
VV Zwaluwen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Zwaluwen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VV Zwaluwen lately — more wins on the board than VVSB.
  • Model gives VV Zwaluwen a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
VVSB Clean Sheet 10%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VVSB VV Zwaluwen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Zwaluwen vs VVSB
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs VV Zwaluwen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VVSB 26 / 100
VV Zwaluwen 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VVSB VV Zwaluwen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Zwaluwen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VVSB scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

VV Zwaluwen let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

VVSB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VVSB VS VV Zwaluwen
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VVSB

(Home)
17 Oct
TOGB
3 : 3
VVSB
10 Oct
VVSB
0 : 2
Blauw Geel
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 1
VVSB
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1
VVSB
Page 1 of 7

VV Zwaluwen

(Away)
17 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
10 Oct
Roosendaal
2 : 4
VV Zwaluwen
03 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Achilles Veen
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)