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WA Mostaganem vs El Khemis

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
65' Event
68' Event

AI Match Summary

WA Mostaganem in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored WA Mostaganem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
WA Mostaganem
15%
Draws
36%
El Khemis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: WA Mostaganem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • El Khemis haven't matched WA Mostaganem's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on El Khemis taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and WA Mostaganem have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
WA Mostaganem Clean Sheet 18%
El Khemis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric WA Mostaganem El Khemis
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Ligue 2
WA Mostaganem vs El Khemis
4:0
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue 2
El Khemis vs WA Mostaganem
1:1
Feb 16, 2024 Ligue 2
El Khemis vs WA Mostaganem
0:1
Sep 30, 2023 Ligue 2
WA Mostaganem vs El Khemis
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

WA Mostaganem 12 / 100
El Khemis 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
WA Mostaganem El Khemis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Khemis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

WA Mostaganem found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: El Khemis conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

El Khemis lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

WA Mostaganem VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

WA Mostaganem

(Home)
26 Sept
ASM Oran
3 : 1
WA Mostaganem
19 Sept
Saida
2 : 2
WA Mostaganem
08 May
Harrach
3 : 0
WA Mostaganem
01 May
WA Mostaganem
1 : 2
Saida
25 Apr
WA Mostaganem
1 : 0
ASM Oran
Page 1 of 7

El Khemis

(Away)
16 May
ES Ben Aknoun
4 : 1
El Khemis
09 May
El Khemis
1 : 3
RC Kouba
27 Apr
JSM Tiaret
2 : 5
El Khemis
18 Apr
El Khemis
3 : 0
Oued Sly
12 Apr
CR Temouchent
1 : 0
El Khemis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rouisset 30 22 5 3 45:14 71
2 Harrach 30 21 7 2 52:15 70
3 JS Djijel 30 14 6 10 45:25 48
4 Annaba 30 13 8 9 45:34 47
5 MO Constantine 30 13 4 13 43:39 43
6 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 12 6 12 34:34 42
7 US Chaouia 30 12 6 12 33:35 42
8 CA Batna 30 11 9 10 39:37 41
9 Chelghoum 30 11 8 11 30:31 41
10 Khroub 30 11 7 12 44:38 40
11 Bordj Menail 30 11 7 12 30:32 40
12 MSP Batna 30 10 9 11 30:35 38
13 Telaghema 30 8 14 8 31:32 37
14 Ouargla 30 7 8 15 30:43 27
15 Olympique Magrane 30 5 4 21 28:66 17
16 US Souf 30 3 4 23 29:78 10
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ES Ben Aknoun 30 19 10 1 44:14 67
2 RC Kouba 30 15 10 5 43:22 55
3 JS El Biar 30 16 7 7 37:21 55
4 Hussein Dey 30 11 13 6 35:25 46
5 WA Mostaganem 30 12 7 11 35:32 43
6 CR Temouchent 30 10 10 10 32:25 40
7 ASM Oran 30 10 10 10 21:22 40
8 Kolea 30 10 10 10 28:32 40
9 Saida 30 9 12 9 28:29 39
10 JSM Tiaret 30 9 13 8 32:30 37
11 Arba 30 10 7 13 35:37 37
12 Bechar Djedid 30 10 7 13 40:46 37
13 GC Mascara 30 10 9 11 31:38 37
14 El Khemis 30 8 8 14 31:33 30
15 Oued Sly 30 7 4 19 22:42 22
16 SC Mecheria 30 3 3 24 19:65 10
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Main)