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Wacker Nordhausen vs An der Fahner Hohe

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023 Albert-Kuntz-Sportpark
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wacker Nordhausen play An der Fahner Hohe in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wacker Nordhausen averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. An der Fahner Hohe averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Wacker Nordhausen won 1, An der Fahner Hohe won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 25, 2023 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Wacker Nordhausen and 1.94 for An der Fahner Hohe. This points to a An der Fahner Hohe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Wacker Nordhausen
22%
Draws
43%
An der Fahner Hohe
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: An der Fahner Hohe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Wacker Nordhausen picked up more points recently compared to An der Fahner Hohe.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Wacker Nordhausen Clean Sheet 10%
An der Fahner Hohe Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wacker Nordhausen An der Fahner Hohe
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wacker Nordhausen vs An der Fahner Hohe
1:3
Mar 29, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
An der Fahner Hohe vs Wacker Nordhausen
1:4
Jun 5, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
An der Fahner Hohe vs Wacker Nordhausen
0:0
Feb 27, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wacker Nordhausen vs An der Fahner Hohe
0:3
Feb 14, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
An der Fahner Hohe vs Wacker Nordhausen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wacker Nordhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorges E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

An der Fahner Hohe Compare

Top Goalscorer Kupke T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kirchner P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wacker Nordhausen 34 / 100
An der Fahner Hohe 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wacker Nordhausen An der Fahner Hohe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: An der Fahner Hohe or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wacker Nordhausen attacking → ← attacking An der Fahner Hohe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wacker Nordhausen scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

An der Fahner Hohe let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Wacker Nordhausen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

An der Fahner Hohe lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 43
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eilenburg34225765:3371
2Krieschow34205981:5365
3Bischofswerdaer34178969:3659
4Plauen34169982:4757
5Bautzen341661266:5554
6Auerbach341214855:4250
7Freital341481249:4250
8Sandersdorf3413101137:4349
9Einheit Wernigerode341391266:6648
10Einheit Rudolstadt3412111150:5347
11Halle341281445:4944
12Ludwigsfelder3411101335:3843
13Grimma3410121241:4642
14An der Fahner Hohe341251750:6741
15Wacker Nordhausen341061842:6536
16Blau-Weiss Zorbau347101758:7731
17SV 1890 Westerhausen346101844:8428
18Oberlausitz Neugersdorf344121827:6624