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Wadi Degla vs El Gaish

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Petrosport Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wadi Degla play El Gaish in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wadi Degla averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. El Gaish averaged 0.93 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Wadi Degla won 3, El Gaish won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Wadi Degla and 0.81 for El Gaish. This points to a Wadi Degla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Wadi Degla
20%
Draws
37%
El Gaish
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wadi Degla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Wadi Degla picked up more points recently compared to El Gaish.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Wadi Degla Clean Sheet 26%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wadi Degla El Gaish
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.48 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Premier League
El Gaish vs Wadi Degla
0:2
Mar 29, 2026 League Cup
El Gaish vs Wadi Degla
2:1
Mar 25, 2026 League Cup
Wadi Degla vs El Gaish
3:1
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs El Gaish
1:0
May 25, 2021 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs El Gaish
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wadi Degla Compare

Top Goalscorer El Shimi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oya Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

El Gaish Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wadi Degla 44 / 100
El Gaish 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wadi Degla El Gaish

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wadi Degla or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wadi Degla attacking → ← attacking El Gaish

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wadi Degla scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

El Gaish let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Wadi Degla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

El Gaish lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 48
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88