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Wadi Degla vs El Gaish Prediction & H2H Stats

Egypt Egypt

League Cup 2025/2026 Petrosport Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
El Shimi A.
Assist: Zizo
19' Event
Oya Y.
46'
Sub
Tarek A. In: Keita A.
Out: Tarek A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Wadi Degla advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Wadi Degla
30%
Draws
41%
El Gaish
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Gaish

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Gaish come out ahead of Wadi Degla on wins alone.
  • Model gives Wadi Degla a 36% chance of winning this.
  • El Gaish arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wadi Degla, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Wadi Degla Clean Sheet 20%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wadi Degla El Gaish
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.18 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Premier League
El Gaish vs Wadi Degla
0:2
Mar 29, 2026 League Cup
El Gaish vs Wadi Degla
2:1
Mar 25, 2026 League Cup
Wadi Degla vs El Gaish
3:1
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs El Gaish
1:0
May 25, 2021 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs El Gaish
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wadi Degla Compare

Top Goalscorer El Shimi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oya Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

El Gaish Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wadi Degla 36 / 100
El Gaish 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wadi Degla El Gaish

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wadi Degla's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

El Gaish's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Wadi Degla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wadi Degla VS El Gaish
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wadi Degla

(Home)
15 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 2
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
09 Sept
Modern Sport
2 : 1
Wadi Degla
01 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 0
Al Qanah
28 Aug
Enppi
1 : 3
Wadi Degla
21 Aug
Wadi Degla
0 : 0
ZED FC
Page 1 of 6

El Gaish

(Away)
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
07 Sept
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gaish
01 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
ZED FC
26 Aug
Petrojet
2 : 3
El Gaish
22 Aug
El Gaish
1 : 0
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Enppi 4
Petrojet 1
Wadi Degla 4
El Gaish 3
ZED FC 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1
El Gouna 2
Al Masry 4
Semi-finals
Enppi 1
Wadi Degla 0
ZED FC 1
Al Masry 2
Final
Enppi 0
Al Masry 3
Wadi Degla 2
ZED FC 0