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Stadium Background

Wadi Degla vs El Gouna

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Petrosport Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
El Nahas M.
Assist: El Sayed B.
15'
Hassan H.
44'
Farouk A.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Wadi Degla and El Gouna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Gouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Wadi Degla
28%
Draws
22%
El Gouna
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Wadi Degla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • El Gouna haven't matched Wadi Degla's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Wadi Degla taking it.
  • Cup games in League Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Wadi Degla Clean Sheet 68%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wadi Degla El Gouna
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs El Gouna
0:0
Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Wadi Degla
0:0
Jan 1, 2026 League Cup
Wadi Degla vs El Gouna
0:1
Jun 18, 2021 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs El Gouna
0:0
Jan 24, 2021 Premier League
El Gouna vs Wadi Degla
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wadi Degla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer El Nahas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wadi Degla 59 / 100
El Gouna 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wadi Degla El Gouna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wadi Degla scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

El Gouna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Wadi Degla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Wadi Degla VS El Gouna
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92