Sport Picks

Stadium Background

WaiBOP United vs Manawatu

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
42' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Football Championship 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
WaiBOP United
15%
Draws
42%
Manawatu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: WaiBOP United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Manawatu haven't matched WaiBOP United's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on WaiBOP United taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 18%
Manawatu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric WaiBOP United Manawatu
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 2 3
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 1.86 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.83 3.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2013 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Manawatu
2:3
Dec 2, 2012 Football Championship
Manawatu vs WaiBOP United
2:3
Mar 17, 2012 Club Friendly
Manawatu vs WaiBOP United
1:3
Feb 26, 2012 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Manawatu
1:1
Dec 11, 2011 Football Championship
Manawatu vs WaiBOP United
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

WaiBOP United 85 / 100
Manawatu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
WaiBOP United Manawatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

WaiBOP United found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Manawatu let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Manawatu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

WaiBOP United VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

WaiBOP United

(Home)
28 Feb
Auckland City
4 : 1
WaiBOP United
20 Feb
WaiBOP United
4 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2
14 Feb
Hawke s Bay
2 : 0
WaiBOP United
07 Feb
WaiBOP United
2 : 3
Canterbury
31 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 1
WaiBOP United
Page 1 of 7

Manawatu

(Away)
24 Feb
Manawatu
1 : 4
Auckland City
17 Feb
Canterbury
4 : 1
Manawatu
10 Feb
WaiBOP United
2 : 3
Manawatu
03 Feb
Manawatu
0 : 6
Team Wellington
26 Jan
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Manawatu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 14 11 3 0 43:11 36
2 Canterbury 14 9 2 3 38:12 29
3 Waitakere United 14 9 0 5 44:17 27
4 Team Wellington 14 7 3 4 33:20 24
5 Hawke s Bay 14 6 1 7 28:35 19
6 Southern United 14 3 3 8 17:37 12
7 WaiBOP United 14 2 3 9 17:39 9
8 Manawatu 14 0 3 11 12:61 3
Promotion - Football Championship 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2011/2012 (Play Offs)