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WaiBOP United vs Southern United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
McLennan T.
62' Event
Greenhalgh R.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Young S.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2014/2015 game between WaiBOP United and Southern United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward WaiBOP United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
WaiBOP United
40%
Draws
29%
Southern United
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and WaiBOP United come out ahead of Southern United on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and WaiBOP United have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 15%
Southern United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric WaiBOP United Southern United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 8
Draws 1 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2016 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Southern United
3:0
Dec 6, 2015 Football Championship
Southern United vs WaiBOP United
1:2
Mar 14, 2015 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Southern United
2:1
Jan 11, 2015 Football Championship
Southern United vs WaiBOP United
0:1
Feb 9, 2014 Football Championship
Southern United vs WaiBOP United
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

WaiBOP United Compare

Top Goalscorer Young S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Southern United Compare

Top Goalscorer McLennan T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

WaiBOP United 31 / 100
Southern United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
WaiBOP United Southern United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southern United has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: WaiBOP United scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: WaiBOP United remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Southern United
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City16140239:1442
2Team Wellington1693432:2430
3Hawke s Bay1683534:2927
4Waitakere United1682629:2326
5WaiBOP United1671824:2922
6Wellington Phoenix 21670937:4221
7Wanderers1652924:2917
8Canterbury16421022:3214
9Southern United16311220:3910