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Wairarapa United vs Miramar

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Miramar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Wairarapa United
15%
Draws
51%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Miramar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Miramar a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Miramar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Miramar, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Wairarapa United Clean Sheet 19%
Miramar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wairarapa United Miramar
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 0 2
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2017 Chatham Cup
Wairarapa United vs Miramar
2:1
Jul 16, 2016 Chatham Cup
Wairarapa United vs Miramar
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wairarapa United 10 / 100
Miramar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wairarapa United Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wairarapa United found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (6 games).

Miramar let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Wairarapa United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Miramar
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wairarapa United

(Home)
04 Aug
Wairarapa United
1 : 2
Birkenhead
14 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 1
Stop Out SC
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
15 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 1
Miramar
16 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 2

Miramar

(Away)
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Forrest Hill 3
Bay Olympic 0
East Coast 3
Birkenhead 5
Universities of Canterbury 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 4
Waitakere City 3
Waitemata FC 1
Queenstown Rovers 0
Caversham 1
Te Atatu FC 1
Three Kings 2
Palmerston North Marist 2
North Wellington 3
Quarter-finals
Forrest Hill 0
Birkenhead 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Miramar 4
Waitakere City 3
Caversham 1
Three Kings 6
North Wellington 1
Semi-finals
Birkenhead 3
Miramar 1
Waitakere City 6
Three Kings 1
Final
Birkenhead 3
Waitakere City 2