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Wairarapa United vs Miramar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Wairarapa United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Wairarapa United
15%
Draws
46%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Miramar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Miramar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Miramar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Miramar, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Wairarapa United Clean Sheet 19%
Miramar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wairarapa United Miramar
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 0 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.5 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2017 Chatham Cup
Wairarapa United vs Miramar
2:1
Jul 16, 2016 Chatham Cup
Wairarapa United vs Miramar
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wairarapa United 12 / 100
Miramar 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wairarapa United Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wairarapa United scored in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Miramar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Wairarapa United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Miramar
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wairarapa United

(Home)
04 Aug
Wairarapa United
1 : 2
Birkenhead
14 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 1
Stop Out SC
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
15 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 1
Miramar
16 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 2

Miramar

(Away)
03 Oct
Miramar
2 : 1
Auckland FC 2
26 Sept
Napier City
1 : 1
Miramar
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 4
North Shore 0
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 1
Stop Out SC 1
Western Suburbs 5
Western Springs 2
Bay Olympic 3
Queenstown Rovers 1
Nelson Suburbs FC 6
Cashmere Technical 2
Caversham 0
Three Kings 1
Birkenhead 2
Onehunga 1
Melville 0
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Wairarapa United 0
Western Suburbs 1
Bay Olympic 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Birkenhead 0
Onehunga 3
Semi-finals
Central United 5
Bay Olympic 0
Cashmere Technical 0
Onehunga 3
Final
Central United 3
Onehunga 4