Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Waldalgesheim vs Baumholder

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Merkel P.
88' Event
Yakut B.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024 game between Waldalgesheim and Baumholder finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waldalgesheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Waldalgesheim
20%
Draws
23%
Baumholder
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waldalgesheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Waldalgesheim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Waldalgesheim are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Waldalgesheim Clean Sheet 17%
Baumholder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waldalgesheim Baumholder
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2024 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Waldalgesheim vs Baumholder
2:0
Oct 14, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Baumholder vs Waldalgesheim
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waldalgesheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Merkel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yakut B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Baumholder Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waldalgesheim 84 / 100
Baumholder 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waldalgesheim Baumholder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waldalgesheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baumholder conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Waldalgesheim's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Waldalgesheim has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Waldalgesheim VS Baumholder
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Waldalgesheim

(Home)
02 Jun
Waldalgesheim
2 : 1
Mechtersheim
18 May
Morlautern
1 : 1
Waldalgesheim
10 May
Waldalgesheim
2 : 0
Baumholder
04 May
Pfeddersheim
1 : 0
Waldalgesheim
01 May
Waldalgesheim
4 : 1
Bitburg
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Baumholder

(Away)
02 Jun
Cosmos Koblenz
1 : 2
Baumholder
18 May
Baumholder
1 : 3
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
10 May
Waldalgesheim
2 : 0
Baumholder
04 May
Baumholder
1 : 1
Engers
01 May
Mechtersheim
3 : 1
Baumholder
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Trier 38 32 3 3 115:34 99
2 Gonsenheim 38 24 6 8 96:48 78
3 Pirmasens 38 22 6 10 92:46 72
4 Kaiserslautern II 38 20 8 10 89:66 68
5 Worms 38 19 9 10 74:51 66
6 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 38 19 4 15 72:58 61
7 Auersmacher 38 19 4 15 64:65 61
8 Morlautern 38 16 10 12 65:68 58
9 Diefflen 38 17 4 17 77:82 55
10 Engers 38 15 9 14 78:65 54
11 Arminia Ludwigshafen 38 14 9 15 63:81 51
12 Karbach 38 16 3 19 70:93 51
13 Mechtersheim 38 12 12 14 67:58 48
14 Cosmos Koblenz 38 13 8 17 72:67 47
15 Waldalgesheim 38 11 11 16 43:62 44
16 Dudenhofen 38 11 9 18 59:66 42
17 Baumholder 38 9 8 21 56:83 35
18 SpVgg Quierschied 38 7 9 22 40:81 30
19 Pfeddersheim 38 9 3 26 46:102 30
20 Bitburg 38 5 5 28 49:111 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)