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Wales U18 vs Sweden U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Matondo J.
33' Event
Agbonifo J.
43' Event
Agbonifo J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Wales U18 and Sweden U18 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Wales U18
15%
Draws
65%
Sweden U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sweden U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sweden U18 come out ahead of Wales U18 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sweden U18 a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sweden U18 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Wales U18 Clean Sheet 18%
Sweden U18 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U18 Sweden U18
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Friendly International
Sweden U18 vs Wales U18
3:1
Jun 18, 2023 Friendly International
Wales U18 vs Sweden U18
2:2
Jun 15, 2023 Friendly International
Wales U18 vs Sweden U18
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Matondo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koumas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58

Sweden U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Agbonifo J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U18 10 / 100
Sweden U18 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U18 Sweden U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales U18 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Sweden U18 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Wales U18 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wales U18 VS Sweden U18
0.43 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
29% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U18

(Home)
13 Oct
Croatia U18
1 : 0
Wales U18
11 Oct
Ukraine U18
1 : 0
Wales U18
09 Oct
Sweden U18
3 : 1
Wales U18
13 Sept
Australia U17
2 : 1
Wales U18
11 Sept
Japan U17
0 : 1
Wales U18
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Sweden U18

(Away)
01 Oct
Sweden U18
1 : 2
Uruguay U18
08 Jun
Sweden U18
3 : 1
Wales U19
05 Jun
USA U18
0 : 2
Sweden U18
03 Jun
Sweden U18
6 : 2
Qatar U20
17 Nov
Sweden U18
2 : 2
Netherlands U18
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