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Wales U21 vs Austria U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 The Oval, Caernarfon
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Weinhandl L.
Assist: Kojzek E.
20' Event
Hodl J.
Assist: Bajlicz N.
30' Event
Agius C.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Wales U21 and Austria U21 finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austria U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Wales U21
15%
Draws
65%
Austria U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austria U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austria U21 come out ahead of Wales U21 on wins alone.
  • Austria U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Wales U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Austria U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U21 Austria U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.42 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.94 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Austria U21
1:7
Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21
Austria U21 vs Wales U21
0:2
Sep 27, 2022 Friendly International
Austria U21 vs Wales U21
2:0
Nov 17, 2010 Friendly International
Wales U21 vs Austria U21
1:0
May 18, 2010 Friendly International
Austria U21 vs Wales U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Agius C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Austria U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Weinhandl L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hodl J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U21 10 / 100
Austria U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U21 Austria U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austria U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales U21 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Austria U21 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Wales U21 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wales U21 VS Austria U21
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Wales U21
1 : 7
Austria U21
29 Sept
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Wales U21
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
14 Nov
Belarus U21
3 : 0
Wales U21
Page 1 of 7

Austria U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Wales U21
1 : 7
Austria U21
02 Oct
Austria U21
1 : 1
Denmark U21
31 Mar
Austria U21
2 : 1
Belarus U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Austria U21
14 Nov
Austria U21
1 : 0
Belgium U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)