Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 2025 Rodney Parade, Newport

Wales U21

1 - 2

Denmark U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Bech T.

Assist: Sorensen O.

34'

Beck O.

46'

Sub

Cotterill J. In: Colwill R.

Out: Cotterill J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Wales U21 and Denmark U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denmark U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Wales U21

20%

Draws

46%

Denmark U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Denmark U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Denmark U21's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what Wales U21 have produced (1.43).
Denmark U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Denmark U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Wales U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Denmark U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wales U21	Denmark U21
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	12
Draws	4	9
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	1.43	1.93
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21

Denmark U21 vs Wales U21

4:0

Sep 8, 2025 Euro U21

Wales U21 vs Denmark U21

2:6

Nov 20, 2023 Euro U21

Wales U21 vs Denmark U21

1:2

Jun 20, 2023 Euro U21

Denmark U21 vs Wales U21

2:2

Sep 2, 2016 Euro U21

Wales U21 vs Denmark U21

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashford C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Denmark U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bech T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Provstgaard O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U21 10 / 100

Denmark U21 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wales U21 Denmark U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Wales U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Denmark U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Wales U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wales U21 VS Denmark U21

1 Goals Scored 2.38

2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U21

(Home)

31 Mar

Denmark U21

4 : 0

Wales U21

27 Mar

Wales U21

2 : 0

Belarus U21

14 Nov

Belarus U21

3 : 0

Wales U21

14 Oct

Austria U21

0 : 2

Wales U21

10 Oct

Wales U21

0 : 7

Belgium U21

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Denmark U21

(Away)

31 Mar

Denmark U21

4 : 0

Wales U21

18 Nov

Belarus U21

0 : 1

Denmark U21

14 Nov

Denmark U21

1 : 1

USA U21

14 Oct

Belgium U21

2 : 0

Denmark U21

10 Oct

Denmark U21

1 : 1

Austria U21

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