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Wales U21 vs Norway U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Marbella Football Center, Málaga
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Egeli S. W.
32' Event
Broholm M.
43'
Sub
Broholm M. In: Skogvold H.
Out: Broholm M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Wales U21 and Norway U21 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norway U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Wales U21
6%
Draws
90%
Norway U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Norway U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norway U21 come out ahead of Wales U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Norway U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Wales U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Norway U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U21 Norway U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Wales U21 vs Norway U21
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Norway U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Egeli S. W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Broholm M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U21 10 / 100
Norway U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U21 Norway U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Wales U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Norway U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Wales U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wales U21 VS Norway U21
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
14 Nov
Belarus U21
3 : 0
Wales U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2
Wales U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
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Norway U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 1
Norway U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
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