Sport Picks

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Wales U21 vs Sweden U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Oliva Nova Sports Center, Valencia
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Harris A.
36' Event
Agbonifo J.
65' Event
Ashford C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Wales U21
15%
Draws
46%
Sweden U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sweden U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sweden U21 haven't matched Wales U21's recent run of results.
  • Sweden U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Wales U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U21 Sweden U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Friendly International
Wales U21 vs Sweden U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashford C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Sweden U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Agbonifo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U21 26 / 100
Sweden U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U21 Sweden U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales U21 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Sweden U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Wales U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wales U21 VS Sweden U21
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
2.86 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
14 Nov
Belarus U21
3 : 0
Wales U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2
Wales U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
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Sweden U21

(Away)
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
13 Nov
North Macedonia U21
1 : 4
Sweden U21
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